Mars or Mercury redux: The geopolitics of bilateral trade agreements

We analyse the role of economic and security considerations in bilateral trade agreements. We use the pre‐World War I period to test whether trade agreements are governed by standard gravity variables, or by instead—or in addition—geopolitical factors. While we like others find support for standard gravity variables, we also find that defence pacts boost the probability of trade agreements by as much as 20 percentage points. Our estimates imply that were the U.S. to alienate its geopolitical allies, the likelihood and benefits of successful bilateral agreements would fall significantly. Trade creation from an agreement between the U.S. and E.U. countries would decline by about 0.6 per cent of total U.S. exports.     

我国老年保健品营销现状与策略选择

随着我国步入老龄化社会，老年保健品市场蕴藏着无限的商机和潜力。本文从相关背景的分析出发，分析了我国老年保健品市场的营销现状，并给出了相应的营销策略选择一人性化营销。     

中国新型城镇化进程中的金融支持影响研究

通过测度2004~2013年新型城镇化7个相关指标,将因子分析法、主成分分析法结合,对新型城镇化指标进行空间自相关检验,建立新型城镇化水平的综合评价体系。采用空间面板模型,从金融规模、金融效率、金融结构3个方面设定指标来测度中国2004~2013年31个省份金融因素对新型城镇化建设的影响。结果表明,中国城镇化水平整体提高的同时区域差距进一步加大,金融支持是影响新型城镇化水平的重要因素。在未来发展中,应通过加大金融机构对城镇化建设中基础设施的投入,增加城乡一体化产业融合资金支持,改善金融机构对城镇化的服务水平等途径,实现中国新型城镇化水平的提高和可持续发展。     

国企利润分配制度改革与资本积累

依据鲍尔斯等学者对"剩余产品"的相关论述,本文将国企利润分配制度改革分为"利润控制主体改革"和"利润使用方式改革",按照这两个维度,立足于《资本论》中的理论与方法,建立了马克思主义理论框架,对国企利润分配制度改革作出了新的阶段划分,并解释了新中国成立以来国有工业企业的长期资本积累历程。本文的基本结论是,"利润控制主体改革"和"利润使用方式改革"均影响资本积累。当前,深化国有资本经营预算改革面临的真正挑战是预算支出结构改革将导致公平与效率的权衡,在民生支出提高的情况下需要保证国有资本经营预算的相对独立性,切实提高国有资本经营生产性支出效率。     

中国风电产业在国际市场崛起的挑战分析

2010年,以金凤科技、华锐风电为代表的中国风电企业在赢得了快速增长之后展现出加快国际化步伐的态势。尽管现在走出去的中国风电企业仍是少数,但国际化进程已不可避免。本文着重总结了中国风电企业在国际化过程中会面临的挑战,并以美对华301调查为案例,分析了其给中国风电产业带来的风险和影响,从中获得启示,以加快我国新能源产业国际化的步伐。     

Women,men and organic food: differences in their attitudes and willingness to pay. A Spanish case study

The main purpose of this work consists of displaying the different attitudes of men and women towards organic food, and their willingness to pay for it, in three different consumer intensities: usual, occasional and potential consumers. Several surveys have been carried out to obtain a representative sample of regular food purchasers living in Castilla‐La Mancha (Spain). Statistic analysis previously detecting significant differences with regard to gender and type of consumer has been conducted by univariate analysis to describe attitudes, and multivariate analysis, through ‘logit’ models, to calculate maximum willingness to pay. Results show that women have a more favourable attitude (directly related to their lifestyle) to the purchase and consumption of organic food than men, whereas men are inclined to pay a higher price for organic food than women. In general, men are disposed to pay a higher increase in price than women.     

以新的视角审视当前中国宏观经济增长

本轮经济波动的一个显著特征是作为衡量经济过热的重要指标之一的通货膨胀并不明显。本文以宏观总供给的形成、宏观总需求的形成和宏观经济运行的微观基础为线索 ,在历史地回顾和分析改革开放以来前四次经济周期性波动的内在特征的基础上 ,指出当前宏观经济运行已进入一个新时期 ,具有与以往经济波动不同的新特征 ,并着重从推动本轮经济增长的动力源和隐藏在其背后的深层内在矛盾角度给出了对本轮经济波动的新解释     

20世纪90年代以来中国经济的动态效率

本文借助于西方宏观经济学中的索洛经济增长模型和拉姆齐 卡斯 库普曼斯模型 ,讨论了宏观经济中最优消费和储蓄的确定机制 ,并得出判断宏观经济运行动态效率的黄金定律以及修正黄金定律标准。同时 ,借助代际交叠模型从理论上探讨了自由竞争经济出现动态无效的可能性。在此基础上 ,我们利用黄金定律规则对中国实际经济运行的动态效率进行了考察 ,认为 2 0世纪 90年代初起中国经济运行处于一种动态无效状态 ,进而我们深入分析了造成中国经济出现动态无效的原因。根据中国经济处于动态无效的事实 ,并结合原因探索 ,我们最后提出了摆脱动态无效困境的若干政策建议。     

转型时期农村非正规金融生成逻辑的理论分析——兼对农村二元金融结构现象的解释

我国农村非正规金融存在的外在原因在于地方政府的强行介入,并造成农村正规金融组织的低效率以及市场规模的萎缩;其产生的内生性原因则在于农村中长期积淀的乡土文化能有效的解决由于市场信息不对称所引发的逆向选择和道德风险问题.因此对农村非正规金融存在及农村二元金融结构形成并强化的理论解释必须依赖于中国现实背景下的地方政府强行介入和农村乡土文化的历史积淀这两个关键性变量.将政府介入和乡土文化这两个变量纳入分析框架,对中国农村非正规金融的存在和发展进行理论解释,在此基础上对农村金融的进一步改革提出相关政策性建议.     

An evolutionary approach to the delimitation of labour market areas: an empirical application for Chile

An evolutionary approach to the delimitation of labour market areas: an empirical application for Chile. Spatial Economic Analysis. Labour market areas (LMAs) are argued to represent a more appropriate policy framework than administrative units for the analysis of spatial labour market activity. This article develops LMAs for Chile by applying an evolutionary computation approach. This innovative approach defines LMAs through an optimization process by maximization of internal cohesion, subject to restrictions of minimum levels of self-containment and population. To evaluate the appropriateness of the LMAs, comparative analyses are performed between alternative delimitations based on different parameter configurations of the proposed method versus administrative boundaries and the most widely used method for official LMA delimitation, the travel-to-work areas method.